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Our proprietary horse racing tips use a combo of racing data and old fashioned pro punter analysis. Our vast network of industry contacts is also a factor with MogulTips. Mogul out classes Algos, Form only blinkers and ALWAYS has it's ear on the track.

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Who is Mogul?

and why sell horse racing tips?

Many people assume Mogul is a person - Mogul is a collective. We are a group of Professional Punters, Analysts & Technology Specialists. We have been involved with Bookmakers & Racing for a combined 35 years. We created our tipping service to enable us to invest in tools & networking that ultimately allows us all to put the chocolates in the fridge. Betting together, Winning together - That's who Mogul is.

No Bookies

No free bets, No SPAM

Nearly ALL Australian Horse Racing Tipping Services give away free bets and bookie promos so they can profit from you with backhand commissions. This makes no sense to us. We pledge to have NO BOOKIE rorts or free bet style spam.

Top Horse Racing Analysis

Tech meets experience

Our proprietary horse racing tips use a combo of racing data and old fashioned pro punter analysis. Our vast network of industry contacts is also a factor with MogulTips. Mogul out classes Algos, Form only blinkers and ALWAYS has it's ear on the track.

32 Bookies Monitored Live

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We actively monitor 32 Bookies plus the Betfair Exchange to spot early money, prices plunges and false favorites, sharpening your mail and delivering edge.

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How A First Four Bet Could Win You Thousands

Have you ever placed a ‘first four’ bet?

There are dozens of different types of bets available to punters. These range from simple ‘win’ and ‘place’ bets to complicated accumulators which can confuse even the most experienced punter.

If you are looking for a healthy profit on a single race, a ‘first four’ bet might be for you.

First Four

A First Four bet requires you to select the first four finishers in a given horse race. It is similar to a ‘quinella’ and a ‘trifecta’ – bets which require you to pick the first two or three finishers in a given event.

You can place a First Four bet on any nominated race covered by the national TABs including thoroughbreds, greyhounds and harness.
There are several different types of First Four bet available.

Straight First Four Bet

A straight First Four bet requires you to pick the first four finishers of a particular race in the correct order. This is the easiest way for you to maximise your profit as it requires just one stake. A win is paid only in the event of your nominated four runners finishing in the correct order.

Box First Four Bet

A box First Four bet requires you to pick the first four finishers in a nominated race in any order. You make four selections and if they occupy the first four places, in any order, you will win.

There are 24 permutations for your four horses to finish in the first four places and so a box First Four is made up of twenty-four bets. A $1 stake would therefore result in a $24 outlay for this particular bet.

Standout First Four Bet

A standout First Four bet is a good value option if you have a very clear idea of which horse will win a particular race. You select one runner which you believe will win the race, and then three further runners who you believe will finish in second, third and fourth places. If your chosen first place runner wins the race, the other three runners can finish in the next three places in any order.
A standout First Four bet reduces the number of combinations. In the example above there would be six possible permutations and so six bets. This type of bet is sometimes called a ‘roving banker’ bet.

Flexi First Four Bet

A flexi bet allows you to decide how much you wish to spend on their bet. For example, a box First Four bet with four runners costs $24 to receive 100% of the final dividend. If you only wished to stake $12 then a flexi bet allows you to do this and you will win 50% of the dividend.
Whilst there might be a degree of difficulty in picking the first four finishers in a given race, the various box and standout First Four options give you a good choice of options when trying to profit from picking the first four finishers.

What We Love About Betfair

Who are Betfair?

Betfair – the leading sports betting exchange – has revolutionised the betting industry. The company has over a million customers worldwide and, unlike traditional bookmakers, the odds for all sporting events are set by Betfair users.
You can also choose to ‘lay’ a horse or team as well as backing your chosen selection.
Betfair offers some of the best odds available for racing and sporting events and, odds are up to 20% better than the Australian TAB.

Top Five Benefits:

    • Choose whether to back your selection or whether to ‘lay’ it on any sports event
    • Racing Zone provides Betfair back and lay odds alongside NSW TAB, SuperTab and Unitab markets which is useful for comparing comparative prices
    • On average, odds are 20% better than those offered by the Australian TAB
    • Trade your bets so you profit no matter which of your bets wins
    • Quick bet settlement

Betting with Betfair

Some of the more popular betting types at Betfair:

    • BSP Price – A fixed price taken at the time of placing your bet
    • Places – back or lay a horse to be placed in a certain race
    • Back and lay - Betfair allows you to back your selection to win in the normal manner or you can do the opposite and lay your selection to lose. As you can either back or lay a selection you benefit from the additional option of being able to trade your position and lay your bet back if it looks the likely winner, to guarantee yourself a profit
    • In-running – you can place bets during horse races, right up until the final seconds

betfair professional horse racing tips

Horse Racing Tips Leverage Positioning

When legendary trainer Bart Cummings speaks, it generally pays to listen. Talking about the deterioration of the tracks in Melbourne and Sydney in recent years, the trainer said, "... Wall to wall racing now means that horses who can lead have a great advantage."
Now, more than ever, horse racing is about the position a horse settles and races in during a race. Other factors such as the pace of a race and a horse’s performance mid-race (is it capable of obtaining the desired position?) are important, but positioning is ever increasingly the key factor.

Slow starters

If a horse misses the start of a race and gets away slowly, it can be the immediate end of its chances. Often, you will hear a race caller state that a horse may have lost several lengths at the start and that mistake will generally cost a horse the chance of a win. It isn’t so much that the horse loses some ground, but, more importantly, it loses the chance of a favourable running position in the race. This is particularly true if the horse is a front-runner.

It can be overcome in extreme circumstances – Sebring had a terrible start before recovering to win the 2008 Golden Slipper Stakes – but it does not happen very often.

Back front-runners

It is generally worth considering horses that have the ability to lead or be close to the front round about 400 metres from the winning post. Research some years ago found that over 50% of all winners are positioned in the first three at the 400 metre mark, yet they represent only 27% of all runners.

Similarly, backmarkers represent well over a quarter of all runners, but win less than 9% of races.

Backing front-runners is particularly profitable in sprint races. The research found that more than 56% of all winners come from less than 28 per cent of all runners.

Use a form guide alongside your horse racing tips

The best way to establish how good a horse’s positioning is in a race is to use a reliable form guide. Alternatively, by keeping an eye out for positive, front-running horses you can build up a database of those horses that have good positional sense in races. This is particularly true of sprint events.

Avoid the slow beginners

You may see a horse with its head cocked to one side in the early part of a race. Often, this trait means a mount will have a slow beginning, either hitting the starting stalls or other runners. Alternatively, bad luck can play a part in a slow start as a horse is squeezed out in the early stages or it experiences interference from other runners whilst jumping.
Whilst this type of slow start can be taken into account, once a horse gets a reputation for being a slow starter it should be avoided at all costs. By far the biggest reason for a horse's failure to run as expected is the failure to establish the desired running position early in the race.

How Track Bias Affects Races Horse Racing Tips

It is a fact that horses run differently on different tracks. There are 330 racetracks in Australia and all will tend to show favouritism to certain post positions and certain types of horses. Some call the advantage of certain post positions ‘lane bias’ and some call a horse’s predisposition to certain tracks ‘speed bias’. Combined, they are known as ‘track bias’.

What is track bias?

‘Track bias’ is a term most generally used to describe how one part of a racetrack may be different from another. It can include a wide variety of conditions including the severity of turns, the type of racing surface, where the starting gate is located, any cambers in the track surface, the length of the straight, the angles of the surface from a true flat position and the hardness of the ground.

Track bias is not a phenomenon that is unique to Australia or to particular tracks, but is a widely discussed issue in horse racing the world over.

What causes track bias?

There are three major influencing factors which can cause track bias:
    • The weather conditions
    • The usage of the course
    • The design of the track

Course design

You may think most courses are broadly the same. However, this is not the case and there are many factors in the design and layout of a course that can advantage or disadvantage certain horses. The main factors are:

    • Location of starting gate – starting barriers near to a turn favour the horses drawn on the inside

    • Type of surface – this can make a huge difference to how a horse runs. Even different types of grass can have an impact
    • Small, tight turns – typically favours ‘front running’ horses
    • Length of straight - a long straight changes from an on-pace bias to an off-pace bias

Weather conditions

Weather conditions will certainly influence the performance of a track.

For example, a wet track will often favour off-pace horses whilst a dry track can be an advantage to on-pace horses. In addition, when a grass track dries out quickly after rain, it will often favour leaders or on-pace runners.

Course usage

The number of races in Australia has increased significantly in the last two or three decades and to help cater for this increase, ‘movable rails’ were introduced. The location of the movable rail can often affect the patters of racing and the design of the track. In Australia, horses that race away from the rail are often at an advantage.

The maintenance and wear and tear of a track can also lead to ‘track bias’. For example, back-markers are often favoured when the track is in poor condition, whereas conversely front-runners will be at an advantage immediately after track renovations are concluded.

 Negative Factors to A Horse’s Performance

Many things can affect the chances of your chosen horse winning a race. The jockey, the horse’s form and health, the track conditions and the jockey on board are all important factors. The variables do not end once the race has started, however. Between the starting gate and the winning post there are many things that can affect the outcome of a race, and here are just five.

Slow Beginning

Sometimes you will see a horse with its head cocked to one side at the start of a race. Many times this trait means it will have a sluggish start, either hitting the starting stalls or other runners.

Horses may also ‘miss’ a start, being left behind by several lengths at the beginning.

By far the biggest reason for a horse's failure to run as expected in a race is the failure to establish the desired running position. Beware of horses that are consistent slow starters.

Wide Running

The wider a horse runs, the more lengths it loses during a race. As a general rule, in sprint races up to 1,250m in distance, for each position away from the horses running closest to the rails, a horse will run an additional length for each turn it has to race around. (This assumes that the rail is the desired running position to be in.)

For races longer than 1,250m, wide running is still a critical factor, but the amount of ground lost by wide running is not quite as important.

Pocketed

Being pocketed (sometimes called being ‘boxed in’) means that a horse has runners both in front and outside of it. It also happens when a horse is boxed in on the inside if it is next to the rails.

Being pocketed can happen anywhere in a race. The most critical places it can occur are normally on the home turn and in the straight. Besides being both dangerous for both horse and jockey, it also hampers any winning chance the horse may have.

Tightened/Checked

As with being boxed in, being checked or tightened can happen anywhere during a race. A ‘check’ occurs when a horse cannot get clear running, often resulting from clipping the heels of a tiring horse dropping back through the field.

Horses are ‘tightened’ for room when they are racing amongst a group of runners and one or more of those runners attempts to improve their position. This often causes other horses to be ‘tightened’ for clear running.

You can spot when a horse has been ‘checked’ as its head will normally rise sharply whilst racing.

Cutting

Cutting occurs when two (or more) horses show early pace and start extremely quickly. Both horses go off fast in order to establish a lead, but if neither of the horses eases back, then cutting occurs.

This results in an extremely fast pace and the front running horses use up vital energy reserves. In instances of cutting, it is rare that any of these front runners will go on to win the race. It often occurs with inexperienced jockeys or when a headstrong horse simply takes control. 

What Is SP Betting?

One of the most enduring betting terms in Australia is SP (or ‘starting price’) betting. It is a form of betting which developed in the early days of horse racing although it remains important today.

What is SP betting?

The ‘starting price’ for a horse at a race meeting is the official Bookmaker’s Starting Price as determined by the official on-track Bookmakers Pricing Service. 

 When results of races are published online and in newspapers, the odds that accompany the results are the ‘starting prices’ of the horses in the event.

The tote system places all bets of the same type into a pool and, after taxes and the bookmakers’ take are removed, the payouts are calculated by sharing the pool amongst the winning bets. SP betting offers a fixed starting price which provides punters with specific odds for their chosen runner before the start of a race.

A brief history

SP betting was introduced in the late nineteenth century as an alternative to the ‘tote’ method. It was legal only at racetracks but when radio and telephone technology was developed and communication between racetracks and towns was possible; an off-course ring of SP bookies began to operate illegally. SP bookies flourished between the 1930s and 1960s.

To counteract these illegal bookmakers the Totalisator Agency Boards (TABs) were set up in the 1960s and 1970s to legalise off-track horse race betting.

Why do we need a starting price?

The odds on a runner in a horse race can fluctuate wildly before the race begins as bookmakers take ever changing amounts of money on different runners and riders. A runner may start at short odds which then lengthen as punters back other horses.

Similarly, a horse might start in the betting at long odds but then be heavily backed by punters who feel its odds are too long, that it looks good in the paddock or that the conditions are in its favour.

What are the advantages of SP betting?

SP betting is popular with punters both at race tracks and online as it provides them with certainty about the odds available for the runner on which they bet.

With increased competition in the betting industry many bookmakers have looked to protect punters from significant pre-race price changes by offering a ‘best’ or ‘top’ fluctuation service (sometimes called ‘best fluc’ or ‘top fluc’). This means that as long as a bet is placed a certain time before the start of a race (typically thirty minutes to one hour) a bookmaker will guarantee to pay the punter based on the longest odds quoted on a particular runner during the pre-race period.

However, the requirement for SP betting remains in many instances, particularly where a bet is placed very close to the start of a race where ‘best fluc’ terms may not apply.

Oaks : Horse Racing Tips

Race Essentials: Crown Oaks
The VRC Oaks is one of Australia’s biggest and most famous races. To confuse punters, the VRC Oaks is now the Crown Oaks, sponsored by Crown Casino. It is part of the Melbourne Spring Carnival meeting and over recent years the Oaks has become one of the fastest growing spectator events in Australian racing.

Where is it held?

The Crown Oaks is one of several Group One races held at the famous Flemington Racecourse in Melbourne. The area has been used for racing since 1840 and Flemington now hosts many of the country’s biggest horse races including the Melbourne Cup and Victoria Derby.

The course has a crowd capacity of over 120,000 and contains three grandstands. Over 100,000 spectators regularly attend Oaks Day and it has become one of the most popular race days in Victoria and in Australia more generally.

Flemington Racecourse was added to the Australian National Heritage List in 2006.

When is it held?

Crown Oaks Day is held annually on the first Thursday of November, which is the third day of Melbourne's annual Spring Racing Carnival. Oaks Day has also become known as ‘Ladies Day’ over recent years and the annual ‘Fashions on the Field’ celebrations attract many thousands of spectators.

Even though it is held on a work day, Oaks Day continues to attract a huge crowd to the Flemington course.

The race

The Crown Oaks is a Group One race run over a distance of 2,500 metres. It is one of Australia’s leading events for three year old fillies and the competing three-year-olds all carry set weights of 55.5kg. The Oaks were first run back in 1861.
This Group 1 event is one of the most lucrative races for fillies in the country and stakes are set at over $1million.

Recent history

2009 saw a ninth Crown Oaks win for the legendary trainer Bart Cummings as Faint Perfume took the title with Michael Rodd on board. Faint Perfume – a winner of the Wakeful Stakes – was made to work hard in the closing stages by Valdomero, ridden by Nicholas Hall.

The 2008 race saw a victory for the talented Samantha Miss. The filly gave trainer Kris Lees his first Victorian Group One winner after a superb ride from Hugh Bowman. Samantha Miss won by three and a half lengths from Miss Scarlatti, with Allez Wonder a further one and a quarter lengths back in third place.

10 Points For Better Punting on Horses

Betting on horses is almost a national pastime in Australia with over $12 billion wagered on racing every year. Making a profit on horses isn’t as easy as you would hope, and so here are our ten top tips to profiting from a day at the races.

1. Establish a limit

Whatever you are betting on, you should always have an upper limit to spend. Don’t bet more than you are comfortable with and once you have reached your limit, stop.

2. Plan your meeting

Make sure that you plan your day. Have a good look at all the races on the card and work out a strategy. Establish which races you are going to bet on and what sort of bets you plan to place.
You should have an idea of your betting plans before the first race.

3. Ignore races you aren’t comfortable with

You don’t have to bet on every race. If there is a short-priced favourite that you can’t oppose, you might be better leaving that race alone. If there’s no bet that appeals in a race, don’t bother. Save your stake for another event.

4. Look for value

When looking at the runners in a race, decide what odds you would be prepared to accept. If you are offered longer odds, then you might want to consider that as good value. If there is plenty of value in a race, don’t be scared to back more than one horse.

5. Imagine how a race will go

Know how the race will be run. If you can't get a clear picture of what is going to happen in a race before the start, you probably don't have a good idea on which horses to bet on.

6. Seek out the best price

You will often find that prices fluctuate between on and off course bookies before races. Make sure you seek out the best value.

7. Go with your gut instinct

Try not to be swayed from your betting plans once you reach the course. You will of course make alterations based on the conditions, any scratching etc but don’t be tempted to change your mind after chatting to a bookie or a fellow punter. Stick with the courage of your own convictions.

8. However, be flexible

If the conditions really don’t suit one of your selections, or if the odds are far too skinny for your liking, be prepared to seek out value elsewhere. Whilst you should believe in your own choices, don’t be stubborn and refuse to change them if conditions demand.

9. Stay calm

When betting, it is easy to increase your stakes when you are on a run of winners or to chase losses. One of the quickest ways to failure is to double up bets when you are on a losing streak.

Stay in control of your staking and remember that there will be more opportunities tomorrow, the day after and all days after that.

10. Have fun

Racing is enjoyable and so you should keep your sense of humour and your composure and keep your sense of humour. Having fun will help you get the most out of your racing betting.
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